Iran responds to US airstrikes

Plus: Ad agencies react to AI's threat View in browser Bloomberg News is closely...
Plus: Ad agencies react to AI's threat
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Bloomberg News is closely following developments in the Middle East after the US bombed Iran over the weekend. Find links to the coverage below. Plus: Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Brad Stone and tech reporter Kurt Wagner sat down at the Cannes Lions event with the bosses of Omnicom and IPG to get their take on advertising and AI. Also, Tom Orlik runs the math on debt reduction, and Chinese lipstick and mascara find a new market.

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The US airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities on Saturday have set much of the world on edge. After Abdolrahim Mousavi, the chief of staff of Iran's armed forces, vowed that the country would respond "proportionately and decisively," Tehran  launched missiles Monday toward a US air base in Qatar. Follow the live blog for the latest

The American operation, known as "Midnight Hammer," had at its heart a tactical feint. In all, the military deployed 14 "bunker buster" bombs. Satellite images show that military planners were careful not to hit three nuclear reactors at a key research facility. Even though it's weakened, Iran has plenty of options to respond, including with its cyberwarfare capabilities and an armed proxy network. 

Iran's envoy at the International Atomic Energy Agency said the attack had caused irreparable harm to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Here's what you need to know about the international accord, which seeks to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons.

Stocks struggled for direction as oil whipsawed amid reports about Iran's response. Earlier, President Donald Trump on Truth Social urged calm: "EVERYONE, KEEP OIL PRICES DOWN. I'M WATCHING!"

AI Is Coming for the Ad Agency

Advertising executives from around the world converged last week on France's Côte d'Azur to sip chilled rosé, kick back on megayachts and dance beachside to the likes of Cardi B and Diplo. In between, participants in the annual circus known as Cannes Lions made more than a few deals.

But beneath the glitz, glamour and glad-handing, the executives were reckoning with a stark reality: Their industry—like most—risks being upended by the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence. AI has already changed the way ads are bought and targeted, and it will soon change the way marketing campaigns are produced.

Few people have more at stake than John Wren, the CEO of Omnicom Group, and Philippe Krakowsky, his counterpart at Interpublic Group. In December, the two agreed to a $13.3 billion merger that would create the world's largest agency. The deal is still under review by the Federal Trade Commission, but Wren says he's "very confident" the assessment will be completed by early in the fourth quarter. Will FTC approval hinge on a commitment that Omnicom-IPG clients won't withhold online advertising from certain platforms for political reasons? Wren and Krakowsky, sitting side-by-side in Cannes, declined to comment.

Wren and Krakowsky. Source: Omnicom

People across the industry are concerned that generative AI tools that can create video ads from a short text prompt or a product image might render their pricey creative services obsolete—or at least much harder to justify. Unsurprisingly, Wren and Krakowsky see things differently. The tools will only be as useful as the creative people who utilize them, they insist. If anything, AI will help those people test ideas more quickly and at much lower cost. "We're going to have a talent pool across the world, across disciplines that nobody else will be able to match," Krakowsky says.

AI promises to provide the most value to small businesses like the local pizzeria, Wren says, which likely doesn't have the budget for a professional video campaign. But the world's largest brands—Omnicom and IPG's clients—won't entrust their image to an AI algorithm. "If you're a big company, you're gonna want quite a number of assurances about how this is going to impact who you are, what you are and the value of your brand," Wren says. "You're not going to put that in jeopardy."

The new technology has helped further differentiate major agencies like Omnicom from platforms such as Meta, which both court advertisers but in very different ways. Meta announced new AI tools last week for creating video ads almost instantly, for free, with the hope of eliminating expensive production costs. If ads are cheaper to produce, the thinking goes, those businesses will have more money to spend on promotions on Facebook and Instagram. Meta can also handle the audience-targeting for those ads using AI algorithms, essentially offering advertisers a one-stop shop. Wren scoffs at the idea. "All you have to do is give Mark [Zuckerberg] your credit card, and he will solve every problem you've ever had," he quips.

Of course, Wren and Krakowsky have every reason to hope AI doesn't spell doom for their industry. They're making a $13.3 billion bet that brands will continue to need the Omnicoms and IPGs of the world. They say that the future is bright for their combined companies, and that the rise of AI will do nothing to imperil their employees' jobs. "There are precious few people in our companies who should be frightened by these changes," Wren says. The technology "should make quite a number of people's jobs and lives easier."

In Brief

Bond Buyers Will Test Trump's Math

Photographer: Tonje Thilesen for Bloomberg Businessweek

"Everyone has a plan, till they get punched in the face," the former heavyweight champion and ear gourmand Mike Tyson once said. Swapping the boxing ring for the government arena, everyone has a plan for whittling down America's debt, until they get punched by the bond market.

President Donald Trump's own plan for managing the debt can be boiled down to something like this. On the spending side, make drastic cuts to the government workforce and pare back programs such as Medicaid and clean energy subsidies that don't align with his political priorities. On the revenue side, extend the tax cuts from his first term, with money collected from higher tariffs filling in most of the gap. Following the logic of the infamous Laffer curve, tax cuts will stimulate the economy, so that government income rises even as rates fall.

It's not a plan everyone would embrace. Many view health care as a basic right that should be extended, not taken away. Others would like to ensure their children inhabit a planet that's not a charred rock. Nevertheless, Trump deserves credit for tackling the challenge of a bloated bureaucracy with energy and imagination in attempting to engineer a switch from taxes to tariffs—a two-for-one fix the president hopes will rev up America's manufacturing engine without robbing the Treasury.

At some point, though, the unstoppable force of MAGA energy runs into the immovable object of deficit math, and something has to give, Tom Orlik writes: What Mike Tyson and the Bond Market Can Teach Trump on Debt

Chinese Beauty Influencers Expand Reach

Photo illustration: Ryan Haskins for Bloomberg Businessweek; photos: Judydoll (4)

As the US Supreme Court mulled a legal ban on TikTok in January, the effects on social media platforms were profound. Even before the judges ruled in favor of the ban—prompting the app to temporarily go dark in the US—an estimated 2 million TikTok users jumped ship to Chinese app Xiaohongshu, also known as RedNote. For a number of beauty-conscious users, what they discovered was a revelation.

"I realized that RedNote had a lot of beauty secrets the United States wasn't using," says Hailey Laine, a TikTok creator in Chicago who joined Xiaohongshu in January and continues to use both apps—RedNote for finding cosmetic inspiration, TikTok for posting about it. In January, Laine shared a video of herself using face powder and bright pink blush to re-create the monochromatic glow popular among Chinese beauty influencers, racking up 300,000 likes and 2.3 million views.

That kind of exposure has been a boon for so-called C-beauty brands such as Judydoll, which started in China in 2017 before venturing into retail markets across Asia in 2021. Judydoll's total sales grew from $232 million in 2023 to $345 million in 2024, says Stefan Huang, group strategy director at Joy Group Ltd., the parent company. Overseas retail sales grew 400% in 2024, thanks in part to direct-to-consumer online channels such as Shopee and TikTok Shop. The company declined to provide specific figures for overseas sales. Social media, Huang says, "has helped a lot to build our credibility."

In the latest Going Viral story, Audrey Wan writes how TikTok's brief shutdown worked out for some beauty companiesChinese Makeup Brands Are Winning Over Global Consumers

Weight-Loss Drug Breakup

 34%
That's how far shares of Hims & Hers Health fell by midday Monday, its largest drop, after Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk announced it was terminating an obesity-drug partnership. Novo blamed "deceptive marketing" by the telehealth provider.

An Alt-Investment Rebellion

"The stocks-and-bonds model of our parents isn't necessarily getting the job done in their eyes, especially with everything being so expensive."
Andrew Saeta
Co-head of US capital markets at Forge Global Holdings
Firms like Forge have lowered their minimum investment thresholds, pitching private-market access as aspirational—and attainable—to a well-heeled class of millennial and Generation Z investors who are skeptical about traditional markets.

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