The sudden closure of 1880, one of Singapore's archetypal private-member clubs for the rich, has been chalked up to bad maneuvers from the management, including an untimely expansion into Hong Kong and Bali. Some former members have taken to social media to vent their frustration. But lurking in founder Marc Nicholson's apologetic message to customers was a line that also reflects a broader economic reality — both the level of spending and frequency of visits by clients was "trending down," he said. 1880 might yet see a revival, but the gathering political and economic clouds are gradually darkening the outlook even for the well off. With businesses facing high rentals and rising costs, the uncertainties of a global trade war, a revived cold war and a rapidly escalating hot war in the Middle East are fanning worries for an economy that was already preparing for a technical recession. Singapore itself may currently only face Donald Trump's "minimum" 10% reciprocal tariff rate, but 10% is more than the average profit margin for most companies, and the island is closely integrated with countries facing much higher tariff barriers. This week's gloomy data at home included a surprise decline in May exports, followed by a steep drop in the nation's forecast economic growth. In the central bank's quarterly survey, economists and analysts predicted GDP will increase by 1.7% in 2025, compared with 2.6% in the March poll. 1880's Hong Kong club closed down at the end of May. Source: 1880 Social Meanwhile, new private home sales in May fell to a five-month low. "Even with the delayed implementation of stiff US reciprocal tariffs and a US-China trade truce, we still expect a material slowdown in the city-state's growth this year," wrote Tamara Mast Henderson, Asean economist for Bloomberg Economics. "Global demand will become satiated, spending power depleted, and heavier US tariffs will sink in." For residents, this means their purchasing power could get further eroded by inflation, and that more of their favorite cafes and restaurants could close. Wala Wala Café Bar, one of the last holdouts from the 90s in Holland Village, is reportedly going to exit its lease by the end of the year. Anthony Siau, founder of Kairos Capital, put it succinctly in a LinkedIn post: "Singapore's rising cost of living and a slowing economy are making even the affluent more discerning." —Ishika Mookerjee |