The Morning: A ‘big, beautiful bill’

Plus, Trump in the Gulf, India and Pakistan and a Barbie study. View in browser | nytimes.com May 15, 2025 Good morning. Trump, on his tou...
Plus, Trump in the Gulf, India and Pakistan and a Barbie study.
The Morning
May 15, 2025

Good morning. Trump, on his tour of the Gulf, said the U.S. would stop giving the Middle East "lectures on how to live." Satellite imagery reveals the damage in the fighting between India and Pakistan. Researchers have found a secret message in Barbie's feet.

More news is below. But first, we explain the tax bill in Congress.

Tax and spending cuts

House Speaker Mike Johnson, flanked by a delegation, walking and looking at notes.
Speaker Mike Johnson Haiyun Jiang for The New York Times
Author Headshot

By German Lopez

I write for The Morning.

Congressional Republicans are currently working on what President Trump calls his "big, beautiful bill." House committees pulled all-nighters yesterday to advance several pieces of his agenda. The legislation takes on two of Trump's priorities: tax cuts and immigration funding. But to pay for them, Republicans are looking for other programs to slash — most contentiously, those that help low-income Americans, particularly Medicaid and food stamps.

The bill still needs to pass the House and the Senate, so it's subject to change. For now, here's what's in it:

  • Tax cuts: The legislation extends the parts of Trump's 2017 tax cuts that are set to expire. This would cut nearly everyone's taxes to some degree, but about half the cost of the extension is cuts for people who make $400,000 or more a year. The proposal also includes an expansion of the child tax credit and temporary tax breaks on tips and overtime pay.
  • Medicaid: Changes to the health insurance program would leave around eight million Americans uninsured. The bill says that poor, childless adults must work at least 80 hours every month to qualify. It would also require beneficiaries to pay more fees and complete more paperwork to prove they are eligible for Medicaid. Supporters say these measures would help root out waste and fraud. Critics say the bill effectively cuts support for the poor to fund tax cuts for the rich.
  • Immigration: The bill would increase funding to help build a wall at the U.S.-Mexico border and crack down on illegal immigration.
  • Clean energy: Joe Biden enacted hundreds of billions of dollars in tax breaks for electric vehicles and other clean energy initiatives. Republicans would phase out most of that money.
  • And more: The bill would also make states pay more for food stamps, which could force them to cut benefits for poor Americans. It would create "MAGA" savings accounts for newborns, starting them out with $1,000 and letting parents contribute $5,000 per year tax-free until a child turns 31. It would raise taxes on colleges and universities. It would increase military spending. It would repeal Biden's student loan forgiveness program. And those are only some of the biggest items. (The Washington Post broke down other elements of the bill.)

One unanswered question: Will the bill pass? Republicans are divided. Fiscal conservatives say the legislation doesn't cut enough spending; it would add trillions to the debt over 10 years. But moderates and populists on the right argue that the bill already cuts too much. They say the Medicaid changes, in particular, could hurt working-class Americans, many of whom have started voting Republican but could walk away from the party if it slashes their benefits.

For more

TRUMP'S CHOSEN REFUGEES

White South Africans rallied in support of President Trump outside the American embassy in Pretoria, South Africa.
White South Africans. Joao Silva/The New York Times

On his first day in office, President Trump stopped the United States from taking in refugees. But he left a carve-out for South Africans, who he falsely says are the victims of genocide. This week, the first planeload of them arrived. Can Trump choose one population of refugees over others? I asked Hamed Aleaziz, who covers immigration in Washington. — Adam B. Kushner

This conversation has been edited for clarity and brevity.

Does the president decide who qualifies as a refugee?

No. The law says applicants have to "fear persecution" in their home countries. And there's a ceiling on how many the United States can admit every year. Trump merely directed the government to process would-be Afrikaner immigrants as refugees.

He said on Monday that he had "essentially extended citizenship" to them. Is that true?

Not yet, but they're on a pathway that eventually leads to citizenship. Refugees can apply for a green card after a year. Then they have to wait for several years to naturalize. So it's not automatic. And as we've learned in recent months, people can still be picked up by ICE and deported even if they have a green card.

He also called them victims of "genocide." Why? Is there even a genocide in South Africa?

Our reporting hasn't shown that, no. But Trump believes white South Africans have been persecuted by their government. So were the Afghans in the United States as refugees, yet Trump ended their protection from deportation. Administration officials say that's because the Afghans weren't properly vetted for national security.

Related: The New Yorker reports that human-rights groups — and even other Afrikaners — have rejected Trump's claims. "We are not victims, there is no genocide," one man wrote.

More on immigration

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine

  • Ukrainian and Russian delegations have arrived in Turkey before a possible round of talks to end the war between the countries.
  • Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky and even Trump have all flirted with attending. It's not clear if they will.
  • It's been a chaotic morning: Journalists are racing to figure out what is happening, our colleague Anton Troianovski said. Follow the latest updates.

Trump's Gulf Trip

President Trump sits at a table with other men in suits.
President Trump in Doha, Qatar. Doug Mills/The New York Times

Politics

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaking into a microphone.
In Congress. Eric Lee/The New York Times

Other Big Stories

  • India and Pakistan talked a big game about their recent strikes on each other. But satellite images show limited damage.
  • Overdose deaths in the U.S. plummeted last year. (They soared during the pandemic.)
  • Casandra Ventura, the singer and model known as Cassie, testified that Sean Combs had beaten, raped and tried to blackmail her during their yearslong relationship.
  • A masked man shot and killed a 23-year-old influencer in Mexico while she was livestreaming on TikTok, prosecutors said.

NEW YORK'S QUIETER STREETS

In January, New York City began charging drivers to enter the busiest parts of Manhattan. The tolls — known as congestion pricing — have improved city life in just a few months. For one, car crashes are down:

A chart shows the change in the number of car crashes resulting injuries from Jan. 1 to April 22 of 2024 compared with 2025. In the congestion zone, crashes were down by 14 percent, while in the rest of Manhattan, they were down 11 percent and in the rest of the city, they were down by 9 percent.
Source: N.Y.P.D. | Chart shows crashes from Jan. 1 through April 22 of each year. | By The New York Times

And average driving speeds are up:

A chart shows the average car speeds in New York City's congestion zone from Jan. 1 to April 19 or 20 since 2020. In 2025, car speeds in the zone increased for the first time since the pandemic.
Source: N.Y.C.D.O.T. | Chart includes data from January through April 19/20 for each year. | By The New York Times

The Times analyzed more than a dozen other data points, including commute times, public transit ridership and traffic noise complaints, that show the effects of congesting pricing.

Sign up for New York Today, The Times's daily newsletter about life in New York City.

OPINIONS

Tensions between India and Pakistan show that the Trump administration's isolationist stance is out of touch with the world's nuclear reality, W.J. Hennigan writes.

Here's a column by Ross Douthat on right-wing art.

More ways to share, more ways to connect.

Find an article you want to share? You can easily post it to your Instagram story or share it as a free-to-read gift article. Learn more.

MORNING READS

An illustration showing a transparent, vaguely feminine head, the brain area filled with photos representing social obligations.
hitandrun

Mental load: Can a $700 calendar save your marriage?

Classroom assistant: Some college professors use ChatGPT. Some students think they're hypocrites.

Art flop: When a bronze head by the master sculptor Alberto Giacometti failed to sell at Sotheby's auction, the audience gasped. Read what happened.

Social Q's: "My husband and I separated. May I request different tables at a wedding?"

Health: Your hearing can get worse as you age. Here's how to protect it.

Drink of the summer? A jalapeño sauvignon blanc, according to TikTok.

Your pick: The Morning's most-clicked story yesterday was about Yale professors who study authoritarianism leaving the country.

Lives Lived: Richard Garwin was a leading architect of America's hydrogen bomb. He advised a dozen presidents, and his research also laid the groundwork for such computer and medical marvels as magnetic resonance imaging, high-speed laser printers and touch-screen monitors. He died at 97.

SPORTS

N.B.A.: The Celtics remain alive after trouncing the Knicks while facing elimination. The Warriors lost their Game 5 to the Timberwolves and are going home. Read a playoffs recap.

Trending online: People were searching for Luke Kornet after his standout game for the Celtics.

N.H.L.: Edmonton heads to the Western Conference final after beating Las Vegas in an overtime thriller.

N.F.L.: The league released its 2025-26 schedule. See the biggest games.

ARTS AND IDEAS

Barbie dolls at a Walmart.
Barbies for sale. Mario Tama/Getty Images

In the Barbie movie, Margot Robbie frets over having flat feet. But were they actually a sign of her empowerment?

In the early decades of Barbie, 100 percent of the dolls had arched feet. In the last four years, only 40 percent did. Researchers have found that dolls with jobs — like a doctor or a lawyer — were far more likely to have flat feet, while fashion-focused ones were more likely to have the extreme arch. Read more about the study.

More on culture

THE MORNING RECOMMENDS …

Slices of toast with a creamy filling are topped with a pat of butter and drizzles of condensed milk.
Mark Weinberg for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Michelle Gatton.

Drizzle condensed milk over custardy Hong Kong-style French toast.

Deal with a pimple emergency.

Create your own multiday cooking course in Mexico City.

Buy a thoughtful housewarming gift.

GAMES

Here is today's Spelling Bee. Yesterday's pangrams were headpin, pinhead and pinheaded.

And here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle, Connections, Sports Connections and Strands.

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow.

P.S. Has your company changed its D.E.I. policies? The Times wants to hear from you.

Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox. Reach our team at themorning@nytimes.com.

The Morning Newsletter Logo

Editor: Adam B. Kushner

News Editor: Tom Wright-Piersanti

Associate Editor: Lauren Jackson

News Staff: Desiree Ibekwe, Brent Lewis, German Lopez, Ashley Wu

News Assistant: Lyna Bentahar

Saturday Writer: Melissa Kirsch

If you received this newsletter from someone else, subscribe here.

Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance.

You received this email because you signed up for the Morning newsletter from The New York Times, or as part of your New York Times account.

To stop receiving The Morning, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings.

Subscribe to The Times

Connect with us on:

facebookxinstagramwhatsapp

Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices

LiveIntent LogoAdChoices Logo

The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018